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A Burp or a Blast? Seismic Signals Reveal the Volcanic Eruption to Come

Last December, a gloopy ooze of lava began extruding out of the summit of La Soufri猫re, a volcano on the Caribbean island of St. Vincent. The effusion was slow at first; no one was threatened. Then in late March and early April, the volcano began to emit seismic waves associated with swiftly rising magma. Noxious fumes vigorously vented from the peak.

Fearing a magmatic bomb was imminent, scientists sounded the alarm, and the government ordered a full evacuation of the island鈥檚 north on April 8. The next day, the volcano began catastrophically exploding. The evacuation had come just in time: At the time of writing, no lives have been lost.

Perhaps monitoring from space will become the best way to see future phreatic eruptions coming. But so far, no successful long-term forecast of a phreatic eruption has taken place. 鈥淧hreatic eruptions are terrifying,鈥 said , a volcanologist and seismologist at Western Washington University. 鈥淵ou really don鈥檛 know they鈥檙e coming.鈥